Suppose two drugs are routinely used for the treatment of thyroid dysfunction. Drug X is known to cure the disorder 75% of the time and costs $88. Drug Y is known to cure the disorder 60% of the time and costs $75. The two drugs work independent of each other. The two treatment plans are as follows:Plan A: Treatment with Drug X—if not effective, treatment with Drug YPlan B: Treatment with Drug Y—if not effective, treatment with Drug XFor what part of the population is Plan B NOT effective?40%30%15%10%
Question
Answer:
Answer: the last option: 10%Explanation:
1) Plan B: Treatment with Drug Y—if not effective, treatment with Drug X
2) The two drugs work independent of each other => joint probability equals the product of the individual probabilities.
3) probability of drug y is not effective = 1 - probability of being effective = 1 - 0.6 = 0.4
4) probability of drug x is not effective = 1 - probability of being effective = 1 - 0.75 = 0.25
5) Joint probability of being not effective = 0.4 × 0.25 = 0.10
6) 0.10 = 10%
Therefore the answer is 10%
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